South Africa: Rolling Electricity Personouts cost the country $51 million (R900 million) PER DAY!! … WORSE IS COMING!
(:E-:N-:R-AZ:C-30:V)
[Hidden in here is another interesting fact. Last year we had 200 days of load shedding. The Reserve Bank (Our Fed) is predicting 250 days for this year. But if that's what they're predicting, you never know if it will be even worse. Furthermore, the amount of HOURS that we will lose will also likely increase. That's a separate topic. It's going to be WORSE than last year, and I see no indication that things will improve this year or next year or any time soon. Jan]South Africa’s electricity crisis is costing the economy as much as 899 million rand ($51 million) per day, according to central bank estimates.
Rolling personouts of about 6 to 12 hours a day, or so-called stage 3 and stage 6 outages, detract between 204 million rand and 899 million rand from the economy daily, the South African Reserve Bank said in an emailed response to questions on Monday.
Power cuts, known locally as load shedding, are needed to protect the grid from collapse when state-owned company Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd.’s aging and poorly maintained and mostly coal-fed plants can’t meet demand.
The company, which produces almost all of South Africa’s electricity has imposed stage 6 cuts, the most severe yet, for 10 days so far this year, according to Bloomberg calculations.
The Reserve Bank lowered its economic growth forecast for this year to 0.3% from 1.1%, with Governor Lesetja Kganyago saying power disruptions will shave 2 percentage points off output growth.
It predicts that electricity will be rationed for 250 days in 2023, which if realized will be a record.
While outages have affected the country for about 15 years, Africa’s most industrialized economy is now experiencing its worst bout of power rationing yet with cuts occurring for more than 200 days in 2022 and every day this year.
Personouts are likely to continue for at least two more years as Eskom overhauls its electricity-generating fleet.
Eskom has repeatedly said an additional 4,000 to 6,000 megawatts of electricity generating capacity are needed to end the load-shedding.
President Cyril Ramaphosa is expected to announce measures to address the crisis in his state of the nation address on Thursday.
In January, the country’s National Energy Crisis Committee was planning a new law to fast-track plant development. The body is run out of the president’s office.
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