AfricanCrisis: Claims Mugabe would die quickly: Statistically: How Long does Robert Mugabe have to Live?
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[Mugabe was the best abuser of the idea that he was ill and going to die soon. And he fooled everyone for years. There was a lot of fake news that Mugabe in Zimbabwe would die quickly and soon. This is like the propaganda Biden is now pushing out regarding himself and which Hillary Clinton also tried. I did an analysis of how long he would live using some statistics. I said he would live 9 years. In actual fact he lived another 14 years. I was much closer than anyone else. Huge numbers of Blacks and Whites believed the propaganda that he would not live long. Jan]
Date & Time Posted: 12/14/2005
Statistically: How Long does Robert Mugabe have to Live?
[I thought I would do an exercise to determine how long Robert Mugabe has to live.Often one hears people saying that Mugabe will be dead in 3 years time and we mustn’t worry… not long to go now.
So I decided to do a simple exercise, based on one I did for myself and other members of my family.
There are various life expectancy calculators on the Internet. The one I chose was the MSN one.
It is located here: http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/calcs/n_…br>
I filled in the answers as best I could guess. Anyone with more knowledge of Mugabe’s lifestyle and put in their own answers. I tried to fill in realistic answers (many don’t make much difference to the final outcome anyway).
Life Insurance companies have lots of statistics showing how long one will live. The main determinant being your current age, along with modifiers for lifestyle, etc.
Here are some assumptions I made for Robert Mugabe:-
o That he gets virtually no exercise (negative)
o That he has regular doctors examinations
When I didn’t know, I tried to pick things which would be negative (reducing his chance of living longer). Among the negatives I chose was a quick temper.
Mugabe is 81 years old – soon to be 82. He was born on February 21, 1924.
Even so, here are the rather (shocking) results for those who are waiting for Mugabe to die soon:-
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If you continue maintaining healthy habits, you’ll want to plan for a maximum life expectancy of 90 years or more.
Your “ideal” weight for maximum longevity is: 144 lbs.
The three biggest positive factors that you have going for you are:
1. Age
2. Drinking
3. Education
The three biggest negative factors that you have going for you are:
1. Gender
2. Weight
3. Personality type
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So there you have it. Statistically speaking, barring some kind of accident, or act of God, Robert Mugabe will be here to torture us all for another 9 years or more!!!
And what’s the bet, that most of that time, he will be running the country personally, and NOT handing over power.
So those who are waiting for him to die soon should think again. He is actually in good health, and it could be that he might even be around for more than another 9 years.
If you don’t believe me, search the internet for Life Expectancy calculators and do your own exercise.
Barring an act of God, Mugabe isn’t going to die soon, and Zanu(PF) could be around for another 20 years. Jan]
Source: http://archive.africancrisis.info/?p=107130
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